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Newsflash - Iran odcina Wielką Brytanię i Francję od ropy.
poland: February 19, 2012W dniu dzisiejszym (niedziela 19 lutego), irańskie ministerstwo zajmujące się sprawami paliw płynnych, wstrzymało swoje dostawy do Wielkiej Brytanii i Francji. Rzecznik prasowy Ministerstwa podał do publicznej wiadomości, że z powodu tych zmian, Iran prześle dostawy ropy, które były przeznaczone do Wielkiej Brytanii i Francji, do innych klientów. Obecnie Iran eksportuje do krajów Unii Europejskiej w przybliżeniu 450 000 baryłek ropy dziennie, z których 11 000 i 49 000 baryłek ropy dziennie jest odpowiednio eksportowanych do Wielkiej Brytanii i Francji. Incydent ten jest spowodowany odwetem za sankcje nałożone ostatnio przez Unię Europejską. Sankcje mające wejść w życie w lipcu tego roku, zakazują importu ropy naftowej z Iranu na obszar Unii Europejskiej. Niepewność dotycząca tej kwestii jest w Iranie jednym z niepokojących czynników.
Forbes : Perfect Storm In Oil Markets: Iran & China Will Keep Prices High
global: February 18, 2012Forbes reviews the prospects for oil, its current supply and demand pressures and draws upon NUS Consulting CEO Richard Soultanian’s recent analysis of the simmering geopolitical risks which compound to sustain price levels above that attributable to just the core fundamentals.
News Flash - Valutare la rischiosità degli eventi
italy: February 17, 2012Le nostre previsioni di mercato per il prossimo futuro prevedono, nella migliore delle ipotesi, l’inizio di una fase di crescita lenta. Questa conclusione è guidata dalle nostre stime sui tre principali mercati globali: gli Stati Uniti, l’Unione Europea e l’Asia. A nostro avviso, gli Stati Uniti continueranno a crescere ma ad un tasso più ridotto (in confronto ai decenni passati) come conseguenza dell’enorme accumulo di debito, che, avvicinandosi ai 15,7 miliardi di dollari, renderà necessario l’intervento dei leader per un taglio dei costi ed un aumento delle tasse.
Associated Press : Oil hovers below $102 as Iran tensions bubble.
global: February 16, 2012Singapore (AP) : Alex Kennedy comments on the ratcheting tension in the Gulf caused by Iranian embargo threats to Europe and quotes NUS Consulting Group CEO Richard Soultanian's recent analysis that the combination of supply fears and European political uncertainties are keeping a floor underneath oil prices, so preventing the market fundamentals from acting to allow prices to slide.
News Flash – Assessing Event Risk
global: February 15, 2012Our view of the market is that for the foreseeable future the world, at best, has entered a slow growth phase. This conclusion is driven by our assessment of the three main global markets – the US, EU and Asia. In our view the US will continue to grow but at a reduced rate (in comparison to past decades) as a result of its enormous accumulation of debt [fast approaching $15.7 trillion] which will require leaders to ultimately cut spending and increase taxes.
Fox Business News : AVG Gasoline prices hits $ 3.51 Gal.
global: February 14, 2012Neil Cavuto interviews NUS Consulting Group CEO Richard Soultanian on the market supply disruption fears that are serving to prevent the price of gasoline from subsiding in line with the market fundamentals. Continue Reading
AP : Oil hovers near $97 as traders eye US supplies
global: February 07, 2012Singapore (AP) : In his article Alex Kennedy draws attention to the linkage between rising oil inventories in the USA, slowing demand from mild US weather and falling US crude prices, and quotes NUS Consulting Group's CEO Richard Soultanian's recent analysis that, despite this trend, oil market volatility will remain given persistent underlying concerns over Iran’s reaction to the impact of sanctions, or in the worst case, a major external shock such as an attack on Iran by Israel.
News Flash - L’aumento del rischio geopolitico
italy: February 06, 2012La scorsa settimana abbiamo assistito ad un significativo peggioramento della stabilità in Medio Oriente. In particolare, in Egitto la popolazione ha nuovamente riempito le strade, questa volta non per protestare contro un dittatore corrotto ma bensì contro un Governo guidato dall’esercito che si sta muovendo troppo lentamente. In Siria, il Governo di Assad è impegnato in una battaglia a tempo pieno contro i dimostranti anti-governativi; mentre il Consiglio di Sicurezza delle Nazioni Unite sembra essere impegnato in discussioni senza fine a causa delle obiezioni avanzate da Russia e Cina rispetto a qualunque cambiamento di programma in una risoluzione progettata per fermare lo spargimento di sangue. Infine, sul fronte Iraniano, la retorica dei leader iraniani si fa sempre più appassionata da quando le sanzioni hanno iniziato a colpire e Israele ha alzato la posta discutendo l’eventualità di un attacco unilaterale contro i siti di arricchimento dell’uranio.
News Flash – Geopolitical Risk Increasing
global: February 06, 2012Over the course of the past week we have witnessed a significant deterioration in the stability of the Middle East. Specifically, in Egypt the public has once again taken to the streets - this time not to protest against a corrupt dictator but against a slow moving inept government run by the military. In Syria the Assad government is engaged in a full on battle against anti-government protestors; while the UN Security Council appears to be mired in endless debates due to Russian and Chinese objections to any reference to regime change in a resolution designed to halt the bloodshed. Finally, on the Iranian front, the rhetoric coming from Iran’s leadership grew more heated as sanctions have started to bite and Israel upped the ante by discussing the possibility of a unilateral strike against Iran’s uranium enrichment sites.
Wall Street Journal : Investors Abandoning Copper, Cotton, Crude
global: January 27, 2012The Wall Street Journal comments on the sharp unloading of commodities by investors spooked by market uncertainties, and quotes NUS Consulting Group CEO Richard Soultanian's recent analysis on the reasons for the flight from commodities.
Forbes : EU Oil Embargo On Iran Seen Having Minimal Impact On Oil Markets
global: January 23, 2012Kenneth Rapoza writes in Forbes on the minor impact of EU sanctions on the oil markets, and draws upon NUS Consulting Group CEO Richard Soultanian's analysis last week which outlined this and the rationale leading to this conclusion.
News Flash – EU Embargo Announced
global: January 23, 2012As anticipated, today the European Union (EU) imposed a ban on the import of crude oil from Iran along with a number of other economic sanctions. The reaction in pricing was largely muted as a result of having already been built into the market. As we expected, the EU embargo will not immediately halt the flow of Iranian oil into Europe. EU foreign ministers agreed to an immediate ban on all new contracts to import, purchase and transport Iranian crude and refined oil products; however, the 27 EU foreign ministers agreed to leave existing contracts to purchase crude and refined products in place through 1 July.
News Flash - Solar PV
united kingdom: January 23, 2012The UK Solar industry has been in hiatus since the latter part of 2011. The popularity of domestic, small commercial and community solar projects was until then blossoming across the UK, thanks to a generous Feed-in Tariff and falling solar panel prices which resulted in attractive investment terms. The tariffs were initially due to be reduced from 1st April 2012 as part of the programmed ‘degression’ cycle of revising tariffs incrementally as the cost of equipment falls. However, the investment returns were so attractive that what was initially intended to stimulate local investment in renewables ended up by being dominated by applications from large-scale investors.
News Flash – The Week Ahead
global: January 20, 2012It appears that the news cycle is currently focusing on two important developments: Iran and Greece. The first concerns the tug of war currently unfolding between Iran and the West – the West is applying new sanctions in an attempt cut Iranian oil exports and pressure Iran to halt its nuclear program while Iran is responding by threatening the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz. The second concerns restructuring of Greece’s outstanding debt and the level of private sector involvement (PSI). Next week is shaping up to be a fairly important week with regard to both of these items.
CNNMoney.com : US Gas Prices may get close to $5 in some spots
global: January 17, 2012James O’Toole of CNNMoney.com reports on the price volatility triggered by Iran’s threat to curtail tanker traffic through the Straits of Hormuz which is impacting drivers in the USA as they fill up at the pumps. He draws upon NUS Consultings' CEO Richard Soultanian's recent analysis of the key drivers that are contributing to the current market volatility which could quickly subside should Iranian action not follow their rhetoric.
News Flash - US Tightens Vise
global: January 16, 2012Last week the US sanctioned three Asian energy companies as tensions between the West and Iran continue to escalate without any signs of relenting. Fresh sanctions involve one Chinese company, Zhuhai Zhenrong Corp – Iran’s main supplier of refined petroleum goods, and two independent energy traders from Singapore, Kuo Oil and FAL Oil Company – who sell gasoline to Iran. Due to a lack of domestic refining capacity, Iran is dependent on refined product from foreign companies. Although the sanctioned companies do not have major business ties to the US, this recent move appears to be a “warning shot” to the global business community that the US is serious about implementing these new sanctions.
News Flash : Fox Business News Interviews Richard Soultanian on oil market pressures.
global: January 10, 2012NUS Consultings' CEO - Richard Soultanian - is interviewed again by Fox Business News to explain and analyse the key geo-political factors, especially in Iran, which are combining to sustain the price of oil beyond its real market value. Continue Reading
News Flash - Iran : Tensions Rise
global: January 04, 2012As expected, Iran today has escalated tensions in the region by issuing a warning to the United States “not to move its carrier back to the previous area in the Gulf.” This new threat had the intended effect, sending WTI and Brent prices up $4.26 and $4.90 respectively. It seems Iran is focused on waging war against the international oil markets in an attempt to dissuade the US and EU from implementing new sanctions. Its strategy is based on the belief that the West’s dependence on foreign oil is its Achilles heel, should Iran drive prices high enough by waging a “war of words,” the West will ultimately capitulate rather than risk an economic recession.
News Flash - Flashpoint Iran
global: January 03, 2012Iran’s drive to join the world’s most elite club (nations possessing nuclear capabilities) presents the developed world and energy markets with a highly complex problem. The region, which is already struggling to regain its equilibrium after withstanding uprisings in Algeria, Libya, Egypt, Tunisia, Yemen, Syria and Bahrain as well as the winding down of the Iraq War, would undoubtedly be thrown into tumult should Iran acquire nuclear capability. A nuclear Iran would pose a serious and potentially fatal threat to one of America’s closest allies in the region – Israel. Clearly it is in the interest of the international community at large to halt Iran’s nuclear program without engaging in direct military conflict which would risk igniting the entire region. Stopping Iran’s nuclear program will not be an easy task and most likely will unsettle the global energy markets.
Newsflash - Tensión en Irán
spain: January 03, 2012El camino emprendido por Irán para unirse al grupo de países con capacidad nuclear está creando un problema cada vez más complejo de resolver tanto para los países desarrollados como para los mercados de energía. La región en la que se encuentra, que está ya luchando para recuperar su equilibrio tras los levantamientos de Argelia, Libia, Egipto, Túnez, Yemen, Siria y Bahrein, así como la guerra de Iraq, volvería sin duda a desestabilizarse en caso de que Irán finalmente consiga disponer de capacidad nuclear. Un Irán nuclearizado supondría una grave amenaza para elmayor aliado de EEUU en la región – Israel.
Forbes : Oil Prices Show No Clear Direction
global: December 15, 2011Kenneth Rapoza reports the price volatility in the oil market and draws upon NUS Consulting Group CEO Richard Soultanian's analysis of the key factors that are contributing to the current volatile market.
Associated Press : Oil inches below $100 ahead of OPEC meeting
global: December 14, 2011Singapore (AP) quotes NUS Consulting Group's CEO Richard Soultanian's recent market analysis in their report as oil prices drop below $100 as global oil price sentiment falters as demand weakens, and oil inventories rise.
News Flash – Il rischio di “Fat Tail”
italy: December 13, 2011Ieri, nonostante la persistente debolezza dell’Euro e le deludenti notizie economiche provenienti dalla Cina, i prezzi del petrolio si sono mossi con decisione verso l’alto. Sembra che il motivo alla base di questo movimento contro-intuitivo siano le voci secondo cui l’Iran avrebbe chiuso lo Stretto di Hormuz[1] per intraprendere delle esercitazioni militari. Queste informazioni non ufficiali sono state subito smentite dal Ministro degli Esteri iraniano ma i prezzi del petrolio sono ugualmente rimasti elevati in seguito alle crescenti tensioni nella Regione.
Newsflash - Fat Tail Risks
global: December 13, 2011Today, despite continued Euro weakness and disappointing economic news out of China, oil prices moved up forcefully. It seems rationale behind this counter-intuitive move were rumors that Iran had closed the Strait of Hormuz to undertake military exercises. These unconfirmed reports were quickly denied by Iran’s foreign ministry but oil prices nonetheless remained elevated as a result of growing regional tensions.
UK - Renewable Heat Initiative
united kingdom: December 08, 2011This article published by the I.S.B.A. was written by Holly Wakefield (NUS Consulting Group's UK carbon analyst) and explains the UK's new Renewable Heat Initiative just launched by the Government. This scheme is intended to provide financial support to help underpin the efforts to achieve a national target of 15% of UK energy being generated from renewable energy sources by 2020.
Sweden - Kärnkraft – baskraft ?
sweden: December 01, 2011An NUS Consulting Group commentary on the deeply unsatisfactory nuclear power station reliability in Sweden, reflecting on its poor record of reliability during recent years, the system outages, and its impact on the Nordic electricity markets power pricing.
Newsflash - Tempi Interessanti
italy: November 30, 2011Un proverbio cinese che spesso viene citato dice “che tu possa vivere in tempi interessanti” ma nelle circostanze attuali suona ridicolo. In aggiunta alla crisi economica che si sta diffondendo dalla periferia fino al cuore dell’Europa e all’economia cinese in rallentamento, ieri l’ambasciata inglese a Tehran è stata invasa dagli studenti in risposta all’imposizione da parte del Regno Unito di sanzioni contro l’Iran. Le notizie, poi ritrattate, parlavano all’inizio di alcune persone prese in ostaggio. In aggiunta a questo mix preoccupante ci sono i disordini in Egitto, la minaccia di un attacco preventivo da parte di Israele e le sanzioni della Lega Araba contro la Siria.
Newsflash - Tiempos Interesantes
spain: November 30, 2011Un popular proverbio chino dice “ojalá vivas en tiempos interesantes”; los tiempos actuales a veces llegan a rozar el absurdo. A la extensión de la crisis de la deuda soberana de la periferia europea al centro del viejo continente y la desaceleración de la economía China, hay que añadir el asalto de estudiantes a la Embajada Británica en Teherán en respuesta a las sanciones impuestas por Reino Unido contra Irán. Las primeras noticias de la prensa incluso indicaban que se habían tomado varios rehenes en el asalto, si bien estas informaciones fueron retractadas más tarde. A todo ello hay que añadir la continua agitación en Egipto, la amenaza de un posible ataque preventivo de Israel y las sanciones de la Liga Árabe contra Siria.
CNBC : Oil falls to near $99 after US supplies increase
global: November 30, 2011Singapore : CNBC quotes NUS Consulting's CEO Richard Soultanian's recent market analysis that fears of recession in Europe would undermine global oil demand, as oil prices fall to $99 a barrel Wednesday in Asia after a report showed U.S. crude inventories rose more than expected, suggesting demand is tepid. Benchmark crude for January delivery was down 65 cents to $99.14 a barrel at late afternoon Singapore time in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose $1.58 to settle at $99.79 on Tuesday. In London, Brent crude was down 11 cents at $110.71 on the ICE futures exchange.
Sweden - Kärnkraft – baskraft ?
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